Monday, August 10, 2015

What Happens to Donald Trump?

So now that the GOP establishment and FOX are both trying to destroy Donald Trump's campaign, it seems that the only way to do so is pick 1 or 2 mainstream candidates to back and force the rest of the field to drop out. Then non-trump suporters can coalesce around a consensus front runner. This basically can't happen until the primary season starts, because:

1) I don't think anyone candidates would agree to drop out before then and

2)  Even if they were willing, it would look terrible for the party to be seen as forcing candidates out before voters had any chance to choose. 

So we're probably talking end of February or even early march after super tuesday before Trump can be effectively marginalized and the GOP can even begin to unite and attack the Democratic candidate instead of each other. That's a hell of a long time and probably means an increasingly bitter and damaging intra-party fight for the GOP.  And aside from the Trump issues, the party is facing a more general schism between hard right Cruz type base activists and more pragmatic mainstream GOPers who would like a Jeb or Kasich as the nominee.  This is shaping up to be a real shitshow of a primary season for Republicans. Hooray!

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